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The Argentine peso has jumped 25% in three months against the dollar in one key exchange market. AdvertisementArgentina's President Javier Milei still hasn't dollarized the economy as promised, but he has managed to do something that's possibly more shocking: strengthen the peso. This currency has been one of 2023's most devalued tenders, and yet it's now become the top currency against the dollar. In the past three months, the peso has surged 25% in the blue-chip swap market, one of Argentina's key foreign exchanges. It's also ironic that Milei has come to lead the peso out of tougher times, given his loud disdain for the currency last year.
Persons: Javier Milei's, , Javier Milei, he's, It's, Milei Organizations: Argentine, Service, Bloomberg, Financial Times Locations: It's, Argentine, greenbacks
"We realized we couldn't afford the mortgage and the car payments and everything," Stonestreet told me. Americans work more, vacation less, spend more on healthcare, and die sooner than people in other high-income economies. These factors likely explain why some Americans are moving to countries that aren't generally considered low-cost-of-living locales. She said that living abroad afforded her a degree of flexibility and spontaneity that would be out of reach back home. From their temporary perch in Tirana, Albania, the couple told me via WhatsApp that their only regret about moving abroad was not doing it sooner.
Persons: Amelia Basista, Stonestreet, Basista, Maliya, I'm, Fale, scoping, Cristina Johnson, Johnson, Mariana, Dustin Lange, that's, Mariana Lange, Mark Zoril, Andrew Hallam, Zoril, hasn't, — Zoril, Tomorrow's Organizations: State Department, American Citizens, Monmouth University, Labor Statistics, Financial Technology Association, Business Locations: South America, Denver, Cuenca, Ecuador, Germany, Canada, France, Minneapolis, Latin America, America, Puerto Morelos, Mexico, Pennsylvania, Belize, States, Austin, North Carolina, Central America, Portugal, Spain, Lisbon, Europe, Tirana, Albania
[1/4] An illegal money changer checks old U.S. dollars at a marketplace in Harare, Zimbabwe, November 26, 2020. The government reintroduced the local currency in 2019, but it rapidly lost value. Zimbabwe's dollarization story is as full of warnings as it is with promise. During the five years before dollarization in 2000, the monthly measure of annualized inflation averaged 33% in Ecuador. "With our local currency we couldn't buy anything, it was very expensive to acquire things, so dollarization ... allowed people to have greater security in their purchases."
Persons: Javier Milei, Milei, Zimbabwe's, Bongiwe Mudau, Dollarization, dollarization, Mudau, Moses Mhlanga, Nestor Cerneaz, Wilson Andrade, Juan Carlos Villota, Guido Puig, Tito Correa, Nyasha, Miguel Lo Bianco, Rodrigo Campos, Adam Jourdan, Karin Strohecker, Rosalba O'Brien Organizations: REUTERS, Philimon, Rights, U.S ., Reuters, International Monetary Fund, hawker, Reuters Graphics Reuters, dollarization, Thomson Locations: Harare, Zimbabwe, Philimon Bulawayo, Rights QUITO, HARARE, BUENOS AIRES, Zimbabwe's, Quito, Ecuador, Argentina, El Salvador, greenbacks, Buenos Aires, Argentine, New York
Argentina's presidential candidate Sergio Massa addresses supporters, as he reacts to the results of the presidential election, Argentina October 22, 2023. Bonds have also been slipping, while the stock market - seen as a relative safe haven for local investors - has been jittery. A local market operator, who asked not to be named, agreed there would likely not be a big market slide on Monday. "I believe the market will open downwards but there will be a floor at which there would be some demand," he said. Reporting by Jorge Otaola and Walter Bianchi; Editing by Adam Jourdan and Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Sergio Massa, Mariana Nedelcu, Javier Milei, Salvador Vielli, Vielli, Bonds, Patricia Bullrich, Roberto Geretto, Adcap, Milei, Jorge Otaola, Walter Bianchi, Adam Jourdan Organizations: REUTERS, Peronist Economy, Massa, Thomson Locations: Argentina, BUENOS AIRES, Milei
For years, Argentinians have preferred to pay for many goods and services in greenbacks, rather than with their own collapsing currency, as part of an informal “blue dollar” currency market. To dollarize its economy, Argentina would need to exchange all pesos held by its people and businesses for US dollars, and assign a dollar value to all of its assets and contracts. The Fed would continue to set the cost of borrowing based on the needs of the US economy, not Argentina’s. Practical headacheThere’s another significant snag in Milei’s plan: Argentina doesn’t have enough dollars to ditch the peso. “People would need to take wheelbarrows of cash to convert to dollars,” Sabatini said.
Persons: Javier Milei, Sergio Massa, Argentina’s, JP Morgan, Argentinians, Milei, Natacha, Matias Baglietto, Reuters “ That’s, ” Christopher Sabatini, Kimberley Sperrfechter, ” Sperrfechter, It’s, ” Sabatini, Luis Robayo, Sabatini, Organizations: London CNN, National Institute of Statistics, Argentina’s, US Federal Reserve, Economic, Reuters, America, Chatham House, CNN, Capital Economics, International Monetary Fund, Getty, IMF Locations: Argentina, greenbacks, Washington, El Salvador, Panama, Ecuador, United States, Buenos Aires, AFP
Tokyo's Nikkei (.N225) was flat and currency markets were similarly steady with the dollar just off recent highs as traders looked to the labour data for guidance. Ten-year Treasury yields held at 4.72%. "This may be just a brief pause while we wait for labour market data and next week's U.S. Treasury supply and CPI data," said SocGen strategist Kit Juckes. "If the labour market data are strong, pressure will return sooner than it did last year. I still think the Treasury market will take yields higher until something breaks in the system."
Persons: Jason Wong, Kit Juckes, Tom Westbrook, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Brent, Tokyo's Nikkei, Treasury, Reuters, London, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Wellington, U.S
Dollarization would end inflation risks in Argentina, said former IMF board member Mark Rosen. It wouldn't necessarily deal with the spending issue, but it would anchor monetary policy, and be a big positive change." But critics of Argentina's dollarization idea have previously pointed out that it would be handicapped by the shortage. But not every IMF official shares his take. Though the lender has not officially weighed in on dollarization, Argentina's economic situation does matter to it.
Persons: Mark Rosen, Javier Milei, Francisco Zalles, Argentina's, Rosen, Alejandro Werner Organizations: IMF, Bloomberg, Argentine, Service, International Monetary Fund, Ecuador dollarize, Advection Growth Locations: Argentina, Wall, Silicon, Buenos Aires, Ecuador, America, dollarization
LA PLATA, Argentina, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Wielding a chainsaw above his head in the Argentine city of La Plata this week, radical presidential front-runner Javier Milei riled up thousands of supporters angry with 124% inflation and a painful cost-of-living crisis. We must remove all the people who have left this country destroyed," said Rosalia Garcia, 51, a public accountant at Milei's rally in La Plata, the capital of Buenos Aires province. "The political caste is afraid," he yelled in La Plata. Milei got just under 30% in the August primary, just ahead of Bullrich and Massa. Back in La Plata, high school student Roman Lopez, 16 - who will be a first-time voter this year - said he previously wasn't interested in politics, but Milei's energy had attracted him.
Persons: Javier Milei riled, Rosalia Garcia, Milei, Patricia Bullrich, Sergio Massa, I'm, Eduardo Murchio, it's, Sebastian Pedrozo, Roman Lopez, Horacio Soria, Juan Bustamante, Lucila Sigal, Eliana Raszewski, Rosalba O'Brien Organizations: LA, Peronist, Thomson Locations: LA PLATA, Argentina, Argentine, La Plata, October's, Buenos Aires, Milei, Bullrich, Massa, greenbacks
CNBC's Investing in Space newsletter offers a view into the business of space exploration and privatization, delivered straight to your inbox. BogeymanSpaceX feels a bit like Voldemort here: Whether it's the launch or satellite communications markets, SpaceX's dominance was a hot topic. While the company hasn't made any claims yet, the insurance market ramifications are looming. Because I think the one issue that creates dysfunction in this insurance market is … do you have enough volume to make up for this loss? … They're trying to figure out what 2024 is going to hold."
Persons: CNBC's Michael Sheetz, SpaceX's Starlink, Uninsurable, hasn't, Here's, they've, … They're, , Jonathan Baliff, Henry Dubois, Adam Spice, EXIM, Judith Pryor, Pryor, there's Organizations: SpaceX, We're Locations: Paris, U.S
Argentina's economic burdens have spawned a number of dollar-peso exchange rates. They include a black market dollar rate, as well as the "Coldplay" and "Qatar" rates. There's an official rate, but also a "blue dollar" rate determined by an underground exchange of greenbacks that's free of governmental controls. So while the official peso rate stood at just under 350-per-dollar on Friday, the blue dollar rate was 715. AdvertisementAdvertisementOther exchange rates are not spin-offs designed to evade currency restrictions, but are actually organized by the government.
Persons: Coldplay, There's, Monica de Bolle, Javier Milei, de Bolle Organizations: Service, Qatar, Coldplay, Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: Qatar, Wall, Silicon, Argentina
And more businesses are accepting dollars as payment as the peso crashes. AdvertisementAdvertisementE-commerce giant MercadoLibre, consulting firm Accenture, software developer Globant, and fintech firm Ualá offer partial pay in greenbacks, according to reports. In addition to staff salaries, the private sector is increasingly accepting dollars as a form of payment as well. For example, US website firm GoDaddy stopped accepting Argentinian peso payments in June, changing to dollars. He also suggested Argentina would be better off pegging its currency to the Brazilian real instead of the greenback.
Persons: Javier Milei, fintech's, GoDaddy, ZonaProp, Robin Brooks Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Accenture Locations: Wall, Silicon, greenbacks, Buenos Aires, Argentina
India's central bank is asking lenders to promote local currencies when trading with the UAE, Reuters reported. The central bank hopes to stem India's outflow of greenbacks and help promote the rupee internationally, according to the report. A central bank official delivered the message to foreign exchange dealers during a seminar this month, Reuters said. The request from the central bank comes as India and the UAE have set themselves on a de-dollarization path. Meanwhile, banks are also offering smaller companies discounted service charges to incentivize local currency transactions.
Persons: South Africa —, Jim O'Neill Organizations: UAE, Reuters, Service, Reserve Bank of India, United Arab, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, Locations: India, UAE, Wall, Silicon, United Arab Emirates, Abu Dhabi, Ukraine, Russia, — Brazil, China, South Africa
[1/5] Cattle run in front of Juan Carlos Ardohain, 49, on a farm he rents in San Vicente, on the outskirts of Buenos Aires, Argentina August 10, 2023. REUTERS/Tomas CuestaSAN VICENTE, Argentina, Aug 12 (Reuters) - In Argentina's grains fields and cattle ranches, farmers are hoping upcoming elections will bring political change and an end to years of economic uncertainty, ushering in freer markets with fewer currency controls and export limits. "I think Larreta could be a good candidate for what he's promising," said Juan Carlos Ardohain in a field he rents in San Vicente for cattle. Argentina's currency controls, which tightly limit access to dollars, have stoked a flourishing black market for foreign currency where greenbacks command over twice the official price, distorting import and export markets. Reporting by Maximilian Heath and Miguel Lo Bianco; Editing by Adam Jourdan and Rosalba O'BrienOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Juan Carlos Ardohain, Tomas Cuesta, It's, Horacio Deciancio, Horacio Larreta, Patricia Bullrich, Sergio Massa, Mauricio Macri, Ricardo Firpo, Massa, Deciancio, Maximilian Heath, Miguel Lo Bianco, Adam Jourdan, Rosalba O'Brien Organizations: REUTERS, VICENTE, Peronist, Reuters, Argentine Rural Society, Thomson Locations: San Vicente, Buenos Aires, Argentina, breadbasket, Santa Fe, Ukraine
Fitch's US credit-rating downgrade means there's less faith in the dollar and Treasury bills, Kevin O'Leary said. This will push sovereign wealth funds to be weary of holding greenbacks, he told Fox News. Doesn't matter: the more the government goes into deficit spending, the more rating agencies scrutinize the quality of that debt," O'Leary said. This is the second downgrade the US has ever received, preceded by S&P Global's 2011 downgrade. Effectively, the lowered rating also means a higher cost of borrowing for the US, which deepens federal deficit spending.
Persons: Kevin O'Leary, Fitch, O'Leary, That's, Goldman Sachs, Jamie Dimon, Mohamed El, Erian Organizations: Treasury, Fox News, Service, US Treasury, AAA, AA, Wall, CNBC Locations: Wall, Silicon, America
Wall Street reaped billions from ruble trading in the Ukraine war's first year, Bloomberg reports. Banks would buy dollars cheaply and sell them at a markup to Western firms fleeing Russia. Western banks turned to lesser-known peers in countries on good terms with Russia, such as Kazakhstan and Armenia. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. Lenders involved in the ruble trade and those that steered clear of it declined to comment to Bloomberg.
Persons: Banks, Vali, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Vladimir Putin, June's Wagner Organizations: Ukraine war's, Bloomberg, Service, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Wall Street Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Kazakhstan, Armenia, Wall, Silicon
Summary Peso's informal value hits all-time low vs dollarAnnual inflation surges to 45%Plunge in peso value 'something horrible', says teacherHAVANA, Aug 2 (Reuters) - The Cuban peso was trading on the informal market at an all-time low of 230 to the dollar on Wednesday, slumping to half its value a year ago as consumers struggle with surging inflation and scarce goods, a widely watched tracker showed. The state considers the informal exchange rate, widely tracked via the independent news outlet El Toque, as illegal, but it has been unable to shut it down. The state officially pegs the local currency at 120 pesos to the dollar, but it has few to exchange. The weakening informal rate was similar to a fall in the government’s electronic equivalent, which residents must use to purchase goods at state stores that are relatively well-stocked compared with peso outlets. Prices grew 39% last year, a figure many economists say underestimates the rate as it does not adequately account for a growing informal market.
Persons: HAVANA, Bert Hoffman, Alejandro Gil, May, Sonia Nunez, Gil, Mario Fuentes, Christian Plumb, Conor Humphries Organizations: Cuban, German Institute of Global, Communist, Economy, Thomson Locations: America, Hamburg, Cuban, Havana
[1/5] Boards displaying the exchange rate of the Mexican peso against the U.S. dollar are pictured outside exchange houses in Ciudad Juarez, Mexico July 27, 2023. But emergence of the phenomenon known as the "super peso" means those dollars no longer go as far as they did. "The purchasing power of remittances has deteriorated due to peso appreciation," said Carlos Serrano, chief economist at bank BBVA Mexico. "You can see it hitting lower-income families ... in states that bring in most remittances." Georgina Cardenas, 34, said the $1,200 a month she receives from her builder husband in the United States "used to be enough for my two children" and other expenses.
Persons: Jose Luis Gonzalez, Adriana Sanchez, Sanchez, it's, Andres Manuel Lopez, Carlos Serrano, Pablo Lopez Sarabia, Manuel, there's, Veronica, They're, Georgina Cardenas, Lizbeth Diaz, Noe Torres, Dave Graham, Aurora Ellis Organizations: U.S ., REUTERS, BBVA Mexico, Reuters, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Thomson Locations: Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, TLAXCALA, United States, Asia, Tlaxcala, Mexico City, U.S, California
China's yuan is expanding its foothold in South America as Bolivia reduces its reliance on the dollar. The country's yuan transactions from May to July accounted for about 10% of its foreign trade in that span. Bolivia has been hit by dollar shortages recently as lower natural gas production hit exports. But the country has been hit by dollar shortages recently as lower natural gas production hit exports. Argentine companies are increasingly turning to China's yuan amid dollar shortages, though many consumers use the dollar in daily purchases as hyperinflation slams the peso.
Persons: Marcelo Montenegro, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Organizations: Service, Privacy, Associated Press Locations: South America, Bolivia, Wall, Silicon, South, Argentina, Brazil, China
Netflix’s cash gun starts to whir
  + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
NEW YORK, July 19 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Netflix (NFLX.O) is putting out some programming worthy of more eyeballs. But its forecast on free cash flow – once a horror flick– shows that the business is only getting stronger. The revenue outlook for the third quarter of $8.5 billion is below analysts’ estimates of $8.7 billion, according to Refinitiv. Netflix raised its outlook for free cash flow this year to at least $5 billion from approximately $3.5 billion. At a time when high interest rates make greenbacks more expensive, and competitors Walt Disney (DIS.N) and Warner Bros Discovery (WBD.O) are squirming, Netflix’s cash story is one to watch.
Persons: Reed Hastings, Walt Disney, Jennifer Saba, Gucci, Xavier Niel’s, Lauren Silva Laughlin, Sharon Lam Organizations: YORK, Reuters, Netflix, Hollywood, Warner Bros Discovery, Twitter, Xavier Niel’s GAM, Commonwealth Games, Thomson
The US even reminded everyone just how influential the buck is when it effectively froze Russia out of the global financial system with sanctions last year. Becoming the issuer of the global reserve currency is about trust. The US has controlled the global reserve currency for 102 years — giving it a special status in the world economy. Still, given that the country controlling the global reserve currency holds that status of an average of 94 years, history seems to indicate it's high time for a successor. Why shouldn't the financial world resemble something closer to the mosaic of cultures, politics, and nations that exists today?
Persons: Chenzi Xu, there's, Xu, , Ron Temple, Gregory Brew, Eurasia's Brew, dollarizing, Stephen Jen, Jen, we've, Stanford's Xu, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Josh Lipsky, " Lipsky, It's, Alexander Wise, Jan Loeys, Loeys, dollarization, Wise, Lazard's Temple, isn't, Phil Rosen Organizations: Stanford, Federal, European Central Bank, People's Bank of China, Lazard, Publishing, Getty Images, International Monetary Fund, Bank of International Settlements, Eurasia Group, Sandman's, Eurizon, IMF, Atlantic Council, JPMorgan Locations: Russia, Israel, France, China, America, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, India, Pakistan, Bolivia, Iraq, South Africa, Beijing
But if it does, it could make the 2008 global financial crisis feel like a walk in the park. The consequences are frightful.”The belief that America’s government will pay its creditors on time underpins the smooth functioning of the global financial system. During the 2011 standoff over raising the US debt ceiling, the S&P 500 index of leading US shares plunged more than 15%. “It’s unclear in a Treasury default crisis whether the Fed could do enough even with the types of efforts it deployed in March 2020,” Obstfeld said. “A default would be a message to investors all around the world of eroding confidence in America,” he added.
Debt-ceiling talks are more theater than substance
  + stars: | 2023-05-16 | by ( Ben Winck | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
U.S. President Joe Biden will meet with congressional leaders including House Speaker Kevin McCarthy on Tuesday to attempt to make progress on talks to raise the debt ceiling. The two efforts would raise $33 billion over the next decade, the Congressional Budget Office estimated last month. Biden also signaled openness to a two-year limit on government spending, Roll Call reported last week, which would raise an estimated $331 billion. loadingComing to terms on these pieces likely means both sides agree to raise the debt limit and push a new budget through. Failure to raise the debt ceiling could leave the government unable to pay its bills and trigger a historic sovereign default.
Argentina will start paying for Chinese imports in yuan instead of dollars, Reuters reported. A historic drought has hit Argentina's agricultural exports, meaning fewer dollars are coming in. "Following the worst drought in history, Argentina must keep its (foreign) reserves robust," Sergio Massa said, per Anadolu Agency. The South American nation will aim to buy around $1 billion of Chinese imports in April using yuan. After that, it hopes to pay for around $790 million of monthly imports in the Chinese currency.
Iran's currency slides to record low as savers buy dollars
  + stars: | 2023-02-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
DUBAI, Feb 25 (Reuters) - Iran's rial currency sank to a record low against the U.S. dollar on Saturday despite central bank measures aimed at cooling demand for foreign currency from savers worried about inflation and the country's economic prospects. The rial was trading at 575,000 on the unofficial free market against the dollar, compared to 540,000 on Friday, according to foreign exchange site Bonbast.com. With annual inflation running at more than 50%, Iranians have been trying to protect the value of their savings by buying foreign currency or gold. Last week, it opened an exchange centre to allow ordinary Iranians to purchase foreign currency, but some market analysts said the move had yet to dampen appetite for greenbacks. The reimposition of U.S. sanctions in 2018 by then President Donald Trump have harmed Iran's economy by limiting Tehran's oil exports and access to foreign currency.
The intended beneficiaries of the taxpayer-fueled Presidential Election Campaign Fund — presidential candidates — don't want it, as they're soured by its restrictions on their election fundraising and spending. An accounting of the Presidential Election Campaign Fund, as of October 31, 2022. Several nonprofit leaders told Insider that Congress could use the Presidential Election Campaign Fund money to immediately ease suffering, particularly in light of the COVID-19 pandemic. During the 2019-20 congressional session, two Republican lawmakers sponsored similar bills that attempted to kill the Presidential Election Campaign Fund. Until that or any other repurposing decision comes down, the FEC continues to spend taxpayer resources keeping the Presidential Election Campaign Fund alive.
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